Hi ZS, assuming that whether or not one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in any case?) is independent from winning or losing on some other scratch ticket, you treat each event as persistent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent gatherings. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Prevails the probability of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after (if it is exactly what your issue is asking) end up being (2/3)^30 = approximately your own.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 via 10 million, which boils down to 1 chance out of 192,307.

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